Updated: Apr 7, 2021
About the slate:
NYM (-127) v PHI (+107) o/u 9.0
TBR (-160) v BOS (+140) o/u 9.0
MIL (-103) v CHC (-117) o/u 9.0
TOR (-130) v TEX (+110) o/u 9.5
ARI (+107) v COL (-127) o/u 10.5
LAD (-175) v OAK (+150) o/u 8.5
SFG (+165) v SD (-190) o/u 8.0
CWS (-150) v SEA (+130) o/u 7.5
Pitching overview (2020 baseline untill we get a solid sample size)
Some SP's that are on the early slate are included in this list.
Martin Perez's numbers might look okay at first glance but has the highest SIERA on the slate and the Rays are crushing lefties with a team average .218 ISO, if their ownership is low TBR seems to be in a nice spot for GPP's.
Chase Anderson hase good stikeout stuff and hit some all time personal highs last year but he is prone to the long ball, i think this makes the Mets a nice mini stack or one off situation (Polar Bear/Dom Smith preferred)
Chris Bassitt's numbers from a far do us a favor and might keep some ownership of the dodgers, Bassitt struggles with lefties big time look to get some Dodger lefties in your lineup tonight.
Keep an eye on ARI@COL weather
Dane Dunning on a pitch count
Alzolay o5.5 K's (+120)
LAD o4.5 (-120)
Home Run Call(S):
Mike Brosseau - Brosseau had a 62.1% hard contact rate,.405 ISO, and 51.7% Fly ball rate against LHP over 42 at bats in 2020. (also including Randy Arozarena in this)
Dominic Smith/Pete Alonso - in over 124 ABs in 2020 Smith had a .331 ISO and 37% Fly Ball rate while Alonso had .277 ISO and 48.%% FB rate. Anderson last year let up 27.8% HR/FB to LHH and 30% HR/FB to RHH last year in over 140 AB sample size.
Adbert Alzolay - Same story as last night the Brewers have a 27.5% K% to RHP and at a cheep price tag of $7,400 he makes alot of builds work while Williams was a great play last night we wont get as much value from leverage but still a decent SP2 target in my eyes.
C: Yasmani Grandal/Yermin, James McCann, Dom Nunez 1B: C.J Cron, Eric Hosmer, Pete Alonso, Nate Lowe/Guzman, Jose Abreau, Max Muncy 2B: Jake Cronenworth, Gavin Lux, Leury Garcia,Ryan McMahon SS: Corey Seager, Bo Bichette, Willy Adames, Trevor Story 3B: Mike Brosseau, Manny Machado, Edwin Rios OF: Cody Bellinger (if he plays), Dominic Smith, Bryce Harper, Brandon Nimmo, Randy Arozarena, Will Myers Weather: Sources: