10 Games (BAL v SEA PPD)
Wrote a query that pulls all the odds on bovada for the day will refine it to just the slate later on.
TOR/NYY will be the second game of a double headder meaning the game will only be 7 innings
Will start including 2021 data soon.
There is a ton of great pitching options today and some are completly mispriced, with so many good pitchers being cheep the expensive ones will not have near as much ownership as usual.
Viable pitchers IMO: Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer, Stephen Strasburg, Dylan Bundy, Brandon Woodruff,Luis Castillio, Max Fried, Ryan Yarbrough.
DET TT o3.5 (-115)
Dylan Bundy o5.5 K's (-150)
LAA -1.5 (+120)
Home Run Call(S):
Akil Baddoo - While I didn't want to put him here because of Odorizzi's low HR/FB% Odo has a very high FB% to LHH and 40% hard contact rate. Akil is on a tear and has a .667 ISO and 3 HR's against RHP in 18 AB's.
Garrett Cooper - If anyone is gonna get one out against Max tonight its gonna be cooper, Cooper in 44 AB's last year against LHP had a .455 ISO, 38% Hard Contact, and 41.2% Fly Ball %.
TB - On a slate where there is good pitching all around TB has the upside/price combo that you want and we have seen both the good and bad side of Kyle Gibson already.
DET - I personally am going here in GPP's in the form of a 3 man stack in Wilson Ramos, Renato Nunez, Akil Baddoo, Jake Odorizzi hasnt pitched in quite some time and we don't know what to expect from him and I am just playing on the angle that he might get knocked around a bit, his lone start in 2020 he gave up 10 ER. Ramos/Nunez,Baddoo all have .500 ISO's against RHP's in 2020+2021 data.
MIA - Max is a good pitcher so I am hesitant but he has got knocked around so far this year and is super cheap so a Pitcher that use to be 9K+ being 6.5K will make him garner alot of ownership (strictly a leverage play).
Shane Beiber/ Trevor Bauer
Dylan Bundy - Kansas City is striking out at a 29% clip this year and people's ignorance on Bundy because of his performances from 3 years ago always keeps his lowership depressed, with so many good options he will get lost in the shuffle (should be less than 5% owned and has 10K+ upside).
Ryan Yarbrough - Super cheep and going up against the Rangers....is there much else that needs to be said?
C: Wilson Ramos, Will Smith, Max Stassi, Yermin Mercadies 1B: Renato Nunez, Max Muncy, Yuli Gurriel, Edwin Rios 2B: Brandon Lowe, David Fletcher, Chris Taylor SS: Corey Seager, Joey Wendle,Miguel Rojas, Carlos Correa 3B: Alex Bregman, Brian Anderson, Jose Ramirez OF: Akil Baddoo, Mike Trout, Garrett Cooper, Mookie Betts, Randy Arozarena, Zach McKinstry, Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez, Justin Upton