04/13/2021 Draftkings MLB Notes and Plays

04/13

Slate Overview:

  • 10 Games (BAL v SEA PPD)

  • Wrote a query that pulls all the odds on bovada for the day will refine it to just the slate later on.

  • TOR/NYY will be the second game of a double headder meaning the game will only be 7 innings

  • Will start including 2021 data soon.

  • There is a ton of great pitching options today and some are completly mispriced, with so many good pitchers being cheep the expensive ones will not have near as much ownership as usual.

  • Viable pitchers IMO: Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer, Stephen Strasburg, Dylan Bundy, Brandon Woodruff,Luis Castillio, Max Fried, Ryan Yarbrough.

Bets

  • DET TT o3.5 (-115)

  • Dylan Bundy o5.5 K's (-150)

  • LAA -1.5 (+120)

DFS

Home Run Call(S):

  • Akil Baddoo - While I didn't want to put him here because of Odorizzi's low HR/FB% Odo has a very high FB% to LHH and 40% hard contact rate. Akil is on a tear and has a .667 ISO and 3 HR's against RHP in 18 AB's.

  • Garrett Cooper - If anyone is gonna get one out against Max tonight its gonna be cooper, Cooper in 44 AB's last year against LHP had a .455 ISO, 38% Hard Contact, and 41.2% Fly Ball %.

Stacks:

Chalk/Cash:

  • LAD

  • HOU