04/21/2021 Draftkings MLB News and Notes

04/21

Slate Overview:

  • 6 Games

  • PIT@DET is game 2 of a double header

  • Watch for weather in:

  • TOR @ BOS

  • NYM @ CHC

  • Wind is blowing 15+ MPH out to right at Yankee stadium

  • Wind is blowing 10-15 MPH out at Fenway

  • Wish the wind wasn't blowing out at Yankee stadium at almost 20 MPH because Anderson would have been a prime target for me with his good baseline numbers and the Yankees only having a .139 ISO to RHP's. Yankees will probably be chalk with a 4.5 implied run total, I will either be fading the yanks and play Anderson or just playing a one off because of Andersons high HR/FB%. If I am playing a one off it would likely be Aaron Hicks hoping he can pull the ball and use the wind to his advantage while also being lower owned.

  • Weather is real sketch in the Blue Jays/Red Sox game but with both teams having a 4.5 implied run total this makes for a juicy GPP play if you can stomach a potential PPD.

  • Stacks that I am targeting (ATL,BOS,CIN)

Bets

  • Braves ML F5 (Even)

DFS

Home Run Call(S):

  • Freddie Freeman - Over the 2019 & 2020 season's Freeman hit RHP's to the tune of .338 ISO,42.2% HC%, and 42.8% FB%. Freeman mashing rhighties paired with Kluber giving up .050 more points of ISO to lefties over the past 2 seasons and a 45.6% Fly Ball rate makes me think Freddy can go yard. Historically Kluber has a low FB/HR rate but he has regressed as of late and i'm hoping that Freddy can just getting the ball up with some power and let the wind do the rest.

  • Eugenio Suarez/Akil Baddoo (hoping he bounces back after a rouch few games)

Stacks:

(not sure on ownership today so I will just not the hitters in better spots on each team)

  • NYY (LeMahieu,Judge,Stanton)

  • ATL (Freeman,d'Arnaud,Ozuna)

  • PIT (Moran, Evans)

  • DET (Nunez,Grossman,Ramos,Baddoo)

  • ARI (Calhoun, Smith, Kelly)

  • CIN (Winkler,Suarez,Castellanos)

  • TOR (Bichette,Kirk,Biggio)

  • BOS (Devers,Martinez,Verdugo,Arroyo)

  • NYM (Smith,Alonso,Nimmo)

  • CHC (Bryant, Marisnick,Baez)

  • TB (Lowe,Wendle,Meadows)

  • KC (Perez,Soler)

Pitching(DK):

Chalk/Cash:

  • Tyler Mahle

  • Jakob Junis

  • David Peterson

GPP:

  • Ian Anderson

  • Michael Wacha

Sources:

https://paydirt.ghost.io

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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