04/23/2021 Draftkings MLB News and Notes

04/23

Slate Overview:

  • 14 Games

  • Weather:

  • No real concerns

  • As always I will not play a 5 stack from coors go there if you want but even if they go nuts you and 1/3rd of the field will be in the same spot.

  • Alex Kirilloff is min price batting 5th for the twins. Alex Blandino is min price batting 5th for the Reds.

Bets (trying out alot of strikeout props)

  • Jorge Lopez o3.5 K -150

  • Jordan Montgomery o5.5 K +110

  • Clayton Kershaw u7.5 K -150

  • Rangers TT o3.5 -120

DFS

Home Run Call(S):

  • Nate Lowe/ Adolis Garcia - In his 19 AB's against RHP Garcia has a .474 ISO, .789 SLG and 2 HR's. Lowe in 40 AB's against RHP's in 2020& 2021 had a .350 ISO, .675 SLG and 4 HR's.

  • Randy Arozarena - Its not a question of if but when Steven matz will let up a bomb with a 2.76 HR/9. Randy Arozarena in 39 AB's against LHP's has a .410 ISO, .744 SLG & 5 HR's.

Stacks:

Chalk/Cash:

  • ATL

  • BOS

  • COL/PHI

  • OAK

GPP:

  • CIN

  • TEX - Dylan Cease's underlying numbers are ugly, with a 5.66 SIERA it looks like he has been getting lucky as of late and that combine with a 1.62 HR/9 and 36% Hard contact rate we should see some bombs from the Rangers. The Rangers have a funny way of either putting up amazing fantasy scores or making you look like an idiot in last place. Cease has historically given up alot more power to LHH's and it has gotten worse every year, this would make me want to target (Nate Lowe, Joey Gallo, Willie Calhoun, Garcia, Nick Solak).

  • MIA - Leverage if you arn't playing Alex Wood

  • MIN

Pitching(DK):

Chalk/Cash:

  • Jacob deGrom

  • Tyler Glasnow

  • Alex Wood - I will probably fade him at 30%+ ownership

GPP:

  • Huascar Yona

  • Sandy Alcantera - Got rouyghed up a little last time out against SF but the Giants are striking out at a decent clip against RHP this year and he is affordable.

  • Steven Matz - is in a high risk high reward matchup with some great K upside but will almost surely give up a bomb or two just have to hope no one is on when that happens.

Positional Breakdown:

C: Christian Vazquez, Roberto Perez, Andrew Knapp, Sandy leon 1B: Nate Lowe, Joey Votto, Matt Olson, Evan White 2B: Jed Lowrie, Jazz Chisolm, Ryan McMahon, Nick Solak SS: Xander Bogaerts, Miguel Rojas, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Tim Anderson 3B: Josh Donaldson, Alex Bregman, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Alex Blandino OF: Alex Kirilloff, Nick Castellanos, Joey Gallo, Byron Buxton, Bryce Harper, Mitch Haniger, Guillermo Heredia, Adam Duvall Sources:

https://paydirt.ghost.io

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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