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04/29/2022 MLB DFS

04/29

Slate Overview:

  • Games:13

  • Weather Concerns:

  • Rain:

  • LAA@CWS

  • Wind:

  • LAA@CWS - Wind blowing in 10-13 MPH.

  • PHI@NYM - Wind blowing left to right 12-14 MPH.

  • NYY@KCR - Wind blowing out to left 12-14 MPH.

  • CIN@COL - Wind blowing in 22-24 MPH!!!!

  • DET@LAD - Wind blowing out to right-center 8-10 MPH.


Things that stand out to me:

  • Mad bum having a 1 ERA and a 5.02 SEIRA means he has been very lucky and is due for some major regression soon.

  • Yikuchi's xFIP and SEIRA are high relative to his ERA so he too might be due for some negative regression.

  • If all the chalk is going to be on the cheap Reds with 25+ MPH winds blowing in...I am very interested in a full Coors fade.


DFS:

HR Calls:

  • Nolan Arenado or Albert Pujols - Nolan has a .600 ISO, 61.5% Hard Contact Rate, and 53.8% Fly Ball Rate v LHPs this year while Pujols has a .538 ISO, 50% Hard Contact Rate, and 40% Fly Ball Rate.

  • Aaron Judge or Anthony Rizzo.

  • Will Smith or Trea Turner

Top Pitchers:

  • Nestor Cortez Jr.

  • 7....7! KCR batters have a .000 ISO vs LHPs this year.

  • Only 2 are striking out more than 20% of the time to LHPs this year though, which at his price/ ownership may be fade-worthy.

  • Dylan Bundy

  • Projecting for sub 5% ownership.

  • Has really got it together this year only allowing a .077 ISO