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05/07/2021 Draftkings MLB News and Notes


Slate Overview:

  • 14 Games

  • Weather Concerns:

  • Rain Watch:

  • BOS @ BAL

  • CIN @ CLE

  • MIN @ DET

  • WIND:

  • WAS @ NYY – Wind blowing in 10+ MPH.

  • ARI @ NYM – Wind blowing out 10+ MPH.

  • SEA @ TEX – Wind blowing in 12-15 MPH (check for roof status).

  • SD @ SF – Wind blowing out to right center 12-15 MPH.

  • Things that stand out to me:

  • Rays K% vs LHP, Arizona’s ISO v LHPs

  • Skubal’s numbers are badddddddd.

  • Which Corbin are we going to get today?

  • Snell & Rondon in tough matchup for their handedness, interesting if you have conviction on either one it will keep some ownership off of them.

  • Griffin Canning has good underlying numbers but has let up a few bombs and it has made his stats look way worse; I would only play a one off from the dodgers.


  • MIA -0.5 F5 (-125)

  • SFG ML F5 (+115)


Home Run Call(S):

  • Akil Baddoo -This is a get right spot for Baddoo, Shoemaker in 50 TBF (Total Batters Faced) against LHH has a 6.01 xFIP,29.4% HR/FB, 42% HC, 42.5 FB. Baddoo on the year against RHPs in 57 at bats has: 45.5% HC, .386 ISO, 45.5% FB. Only thing that is annoying is that Detroit’s stadium is in the bottom 5 for park effects for LHHs.

  • Mitch Garver – Garver on the year is hitting LHP’s to the tune of: 56.3% HC,.355 ISO, 62.5% FB. Skubal this year and historically has been dramatically worse against RHHs, on the year Skubal has a 8.24 xFIP, 20.5% HR/FB, 66.2 FB%.

  • Carson Kelly - Against LHP's this year he has a .563 ISO,52.9% HC, and 41.2% FB%, Peterson is allowing a 45.5% HR/FB% & .271 ISO against RHPs.



  • ATL

  • NYY

  • MIN


  • STL – The Cardinals are only striking out 17% of the time to LHPs this year& have a very nice .190 team average ISO, Gomber has a 15% BB rate, 5.44 SIERA, and 40% HC rate on the year. (Focus Dylan Carlson, Paul DeJong, Harrison Bader, Paul Goldschmidt

  • ARI – Could be personal bias but Peterson seems like a fraud so far, he has some good numbers but allows 34% HC & 1.86 HR/9, Arizona on the year is absolutely crushing LHPs with a .225 team ISO and only 20% team strike out rate. Focus RHHs against Peterson (Carson Kelly, Eduardo Escobar, Asdrubal Cabrera).

  • HOU



  • Trevor Rogers

  • Jack Flaherty

  • Blake Snell – Probably going to fade Snell, SF does very well against LHP’s.

  • Charlie Morton


  • Carlos Rondon – KC has been awful against LHP’s over the last 14 days (Bottom 3 in On Base + Slugging) just don’t strike out that often to them on the season.

  • Sean Manaea – Depending on the lineup the Rays roll out there they can have up to 6 people that strike out 30%+ to LHPs.

  • Chris Flexin


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