ARI @ NYM
CWS @ KCR
BOS @ BAL – Wind blowing left to right 8-10 MPH.
SEA @ TEX – Wind blowing in 15-20 MPH (check roof status).
CWS @ KCR – Wind blowing 10-15 MPH out to left field.
Things that stand out to me:
Zac Lowther in 326 Innings pitched in the minor leagues has a earned himself a 2.26 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 380 Strikeouts, and that even through the juiced ball time…. could be a lottery ticket play in a big GPP…Boston only strikes out to LHPs at a 18% clip though.
MATZ struggles A LOT more with RHHs (Yuli, Bregman, Correa).
Vince Velasquez has been dominant against LHHs this year, I’d avoid Freddy & Ozzie (I know Ozzie is a switch hitter, but he only had 4 ABs as a LHH v RHP on his career).
A lot of matchups wish pitchers that have little data on them this season, if you have conviction on a matchup, you’ll get that stack at lower ownership.
Christian Javier’s Fly ball rate & lack of soft contact are concerning.
SEA @ TEX F5 o5 Runs (-120)
Home Run Call(S):
Nate Lowe – Low is crushing RHPs this season with a 47.8% HC rate & .313 ISO. Ljay Newsome over his career has allowed a 5.00 HR/9, 31.3% HR/FB, 6.18 xFIP to LHHs.
Andy Young if he starts, Old man Trey Mancini.
SEA & TEX – Seems as if this whole game will go overlooked, the wind will be bat but it looks gloomy outside right now and I’m betting they close the roof so that will nullify the wind. While Newsome isn’t great vs either handedness, he struggles a lot more with LHHs so I would focus (Willie Calhoun, Nate Lowe) but if you want to full stack throw Nick Solak and Adolis Garcia in there as well. As for the Seattle side of things, Arihara struggles with batters on both sides of the plate but gives up a lot more power to RHHs, I would focus (Mitch Haniger, Kyle Lewis, and Kyle Seager even though he’s a LHHH). Only annoying thing here is SEA & TEX’s bullpens rank in the top 10.
ARI - Arizona is going up against another bad LHP & the Mets bullpen might be thin after Peterson only lasted 1.2 Innings. Joey Lucchesi has historically struggled much more with RHHs, focus on (Eduardo Escobar, Carson Kelly, Andy Young, Christian Walker).