05/15/2021 Draftkings MLB News and Notes

05/15

Slate Overview:

  • 10 Games

  • Weather Concerns

  • Rain:

  • CIN @ COL

  • Wind:

  • NYY @ BAL – Wind blowing out to left 5 MPH.

  • KC @ CWS – Wind blowing in 8-10 MPH.

  • CIN @ COL – Wind blowing in 6-9 MPH.

  • STL @ SDP – Wind Blowing out to right 8-10 MPH.

  • MIA @ LAD – Wind blowing out to center 5-10 MPH.

  • Things that stand out to me:

  • Rondon is extremely expensive and mispriced on FD IMO going up against a team that doesn’t strike out very often to LHP.

  • Another day of Coors…….

  • The White Sox are crushing LHPs this season.

  • Last 2 week team hitting here, and from the looks of it the last 2 weeks the Diamondbacks have had a bit of a rough go of it.

Bets

  • Seattle Mariners o3.5 (-120).

DFS

Home Run Call(S):

  • One of Kyle Seager/ Jarred Kelenic.

Stacks:

Chalk/Cash:

  • WAS

  • PHI

  • CIN

  • COL

GPP:

  • SEA – While I love Twig (Triston McKenzie) as a prospect he has struggled with giving up power this year and with Seattle calling up the future star Jarred Kelenic they have some more pop in their lineup as we could see in last night’s game. McKenzie has a 5.1 SIERA, 59% Fly Ball rate,42% Hard contact rate, and 1.9 HR/9. He also struggles more with LHHs.

  • CWS - I would focus (Vaughn, Grandal, Abreau, Mercedes) all have ISOs over .290 against LHPs.

Pitching:

Chalk/Cash:

  • Trevor Bauer

  • Chris Paddack

  • Carlos Rodon

GPP:

  • Ian Anderson – Love Anderson today and if I can get him at low ownership, I’ll love it even more.

  • Domingo German – Last time German faced the Orioles he put up a gem with 7 innings pitched and 6 strikeouts with only 3 hits. However, over the last 2 weeks Baltimore is striking out 5.6% less than their season average.

  • Luis Garcia – Garcia’s K rate is nearing 29% and this paired with an almost 28% Strike out rate to RHPs by the Rangers makes him an interesting option. Garcia’s xFIP and FB% scare me a little but hopefully pitching in Minute Maid (6th best part for pitchers) park today will help him with the long ball.

Sources:

https://paydirt.ghost.io

hrrps://statmuse.com

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com


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