05/17/2021 Draftkings MLB News and Notes

05/17

Slate Overview:

  • 8 Games

  • Weather Concerns:

  • NYM @ ATL – Wind blowing in 5-8 MPH.

  • WSH @ CHC – Wind blowing in 7-9 MPH.

  • CWS @ MIN – Wind blowing in 7-9 MPH.

  • NYY @ TEX – Wind blowing in 10 MPH (Check roof status).

  • CLE @ LAA – Wind blowing out 8-10 MPH.

  • Things that stand out to me:

  • Team hitting last two weeks is here.

  • Looks like J.A. Happ has alot of negative regression coming his way but the White Sox are projected top three in team ownership so I guess everyone else sees that.

  • John Lester implosion night in Wrigleyville.

  • Not much much 2021 data for either pitcher in the LAA/CLE game, use that to your advantage.

Bets

  • CHC F5 -0.5 (-120)

DFS

Home Run Call(S):

  • .Khris Bryant - Bryant is absoutly dominating LHPs this year with a 56.3% HC rate & .667 ISO!!!!!!.

  • Anthony Rendon -Over the past 2 seasons Rendon has hit LHPs to the tune of 44.4% HC%,.274 ISO, and 50.8% Fly Ball. Hegentes is allowing a .318 ISO, 33.3% HR/FB to RHHs on the year.

Stacks:

Chalk/Cash:

  • NYY

  • SEA

  • CWS

GPP:

  • CHC - John Lester should buy a lotto ticket, yeah that right if you have a SIERA 3 full points over your ERA you have been getting pretty dang lucky. Lester is allowing contact on over 80% of his pitches and only 12% of all contact has been soft contact....all that while not allowing any HR's so far on the year (that will regress quickly). Historically Lester struggles with RHHs alot more, focus on (Baez, Bryant, Contreras, Hoerner)

  • CLE/LAA - Like both sides of this game and think that its being overlooked. Hengtes struggles more with RHHs focus (Rendon, Upton, Ward). On the clevland side of things I would focus (Perez, Ramerez, Luplow).

  • SEA

Pitching:

Chalk/Cash:

  • Gerrit Cole

  • Yu Darvish

  • Walker Buehler

  • Yusei Kikuchi

GPP:

  • Adbert Alzolay - Might as well get some correlation in with the Cubs stack. Adbert is affordable and is facing a Washington team that only has a .144 ISO to RHPs, while they might not strike out that much his 30% K rate can hopefully make up for that.

Sources:

https://paydirt.ghost.io

hrrps://statmuse.com

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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