05/18/2021 Draftkings MLB News and Notes

05/18/2021

Slate Overview:

  • 14 Games

  • Weather Concerns

  • Rain:

  • CWS @ MIN

  • WAS @ CHC

  • MIL @ KCR

  • Wind:

  • NYM @ ATL - Blowing in 8-10 MPH.

  • WAS @ CHC - Blowing out 10-12 MPH.

  • CWS @ MIN - Blowing in 12-15 MPH.

  • PIT @ STL - Blowing in about 12-14 MPH.

  • HOU @ OAK - Blowing out to right about 10-14 MPH.

  • Things that stand out to me:

  • Last 2 week hitting data is Here.

  • Wind is blowing out 10+ MPH in Wrigley, click HERE for about wind in Wrigley.

  • Seattle was quick to pull Dunn last time out but his SIERA and xFIP just keep going up....do we see the wheels fall off tonight?

  • John Gant is going to get blown up soon....not sure if I would trust this Pirates team to do it but the day is coming.

  • With Stanton out of the lineup if you can avoid getting blown up by loit,judge the NYY roster is a gold mine to go up against for GPP pitchers.

Bets

  • ATL TT o4.5 (-110)

DFS

Home Run Call(S):

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. - James' model loves him tongiht. You can get acess to that here.

  • Rhys Hoskins

Stacks:

Chalk/Cash:

  • TBR

  • NYM

  • NYY

  • SD

GPP:

  • ATL

  • CHC/WAS - (WATCH FOR WEATHER) Game is projecting to not have much ownership at all and I think that Wind in Wrigley is consistently overlooked. Patrick Corbin has been all over the place this year, he had a great outing last time out but we all can remember the games he got blown up in. Patrick gives up a lot of HRs and that’s what we are looking for in DFS he also give up a lot more power to RHHs so focus (Contreras, Bryant, Baez). Zach Davies has a 5.63 SIERA compared to his 3.86 ERA this last month so he is due for some negative regression and is more prone to give up powers to LHH this year I would focus (Soto, Zimmerman, Gomes, Bell).

Pitching:

Chalk/Cash:

  • Blake Snell

  • Zach Wheeler

  • Andrew Heaney

GPP:

  • Brandon Woodruff - He will have a decent amount of ownership but given KC's last 2 week hitting stats he might have more upside than people are giving him right now....i'll always play Woodruff at a ownership discount.

  • Corbin Martin - Has 9K's in 5 innings in his first MLB game back in 2019 so none of this new ball stuff yet, hes min price for a pitcher. Did have controll issues in later games but a viable punt option imo.

Sources:

https://paydirt.ghost.io

hrrps://statmuse.com

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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