08/09/2021 MLB DFS News & Notes
08/09
Slate Overview:
Games
Weather Concerns
CIN@CLE - Watch weather, 10+ MPH wins blowing out to center field.
MIL@CHC - Watch weather could PPD, 10-12 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.
CWS@MIN - Wind blowing in 10+ MPH.
NYY@KC - Wind blowing out to left field 10+ MPH.
Things that stand out to me:
Last 2 weeks hitting data here.
DFS
Home Run Call(S):
Rowdy Tellez - Tellez over the L30 has a .306 ISO/52.3% Fly Ball Rate/ and 47.7% Hard Contact Rate against RHPs, during that same period Mills has allowed a .268 ISO/ 41.7 hard Contact Rate to LHHs.
Kyle Farmer - On the season Kyle farmer has a .274 ISO & 52% Hard Contact Rate against LHPs...does have a low FB% so could be double SZN. On the season Hentges has allowed a .234 ISO & 38% Hard Contact Rate to RHHs.
Eloy Jimenez
CIN@CLE
Hentges
Is walking batters at a 13% clip this year and seems to struggle more with RHHs (allowing a .457 wOBA & .234 ISO) over the L30 CIN 3-6 hitters haven't been able to hit LHPs well but it is a small sample size, Farmer and Suarez have hit LHPs well in that time frame. I would focus on India, Farmer, Suarez.
Castillo
After a rough start to the season, Castillo has seemed to find himself. Over the L30 days, Castillo has a 3.55 xFIP, 30% K rate, and 60% GB rate.....his 12% BB Rate is concerning though. The Indians will most likely have 4 hitters with a K rate over 24% against RHPs in the lineup tonight. If you want anyone from the Indians I would only recommend Jose Ramirez or Bradley Zimmer.
MIL@CHC
Peralta
Got to keep an eye on the weather in this game, Peralta seems to be in a sweet spot.... whatever this thing is that the Cubs call a roster is hardly an excuse for a major league team. Ortega has been a present surprise but Peralta has been dominant against LHHs this year. Only concern would be Contreras/Wisdom. The Cubs have 4 hitters that are striking out over 30% of the time to RHPs over the L30.
Mills
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