09/17 MLB Bets and DFS Picks
09/17
Bets
Pirates F5 (-120)
Mitch Keller has been getting EXTREMELY unlucky as you can tell from the difference between his ERA and xFIP/SIERA. (1st photo)
S/O Props aren't up yes but whatever it is I am taking it against the Mariners who have 5 players with over a 25% S/O rate and 3 over 35% against RHP on the season.
Marco Gonzales (2nd Photo has been getting lucky)
Parlay: AZ ML,Red Sox ML (+131)
DFS
Home Run Call(S):
Eduardo Escobar
Escobar has a 49.3% Hard Contact rate against LHP this year as well as a .277 ISO and 44.4% Fly Ball rate.
Caleb Smith is giving up a whopping 58.8% Fly Ball rate as well as 17% HR/FB rate over the last 30 days.
Smith over the last 30 days has a 6.03 xFIP and 5.11 SIERA and on the season is giving up over a .250 ISO to both LHH and RHH.
Stacks:
The Chalk:
Mets
Twins
Red Sox
Contrarian Corner:
Diamondbacks
Indians
Braves
Pitching(DK):
The Chalk:
Justin Verlander
Ross Stripling
Yu Darvish
Contrarian Corner:
Martin Perez
Alex Young
Mitch Keller
Sony Gray
Positional Breakdown:
C:
Wilson Ramos
Mitch Garver
Roberto Perez
Christian Vazquez
1B:
Pete Alonso
Freddie Freeman
Matt Olson
Carlos Santana
2B:
Robinson Cano
Ketel Marte
Ozzie Albies
Jonathan Schoop
SS:
Xander Bogaerts
Francisco Lindor
Marcus Semien (Birthday Narrative too)
Bo Bichette
3B:
Miguel Sano
Nolan Arenado
Rafael Devers
Josh Donaldson
Matt Chapman
OF:
Michael Conforto
Nelson Cruz
Yasiel Puig
Jeff McNeil
Ronald Acuna Jr
J.D Martinez
Brandon Nimmo
Eddie Rosario
Value:
Marwin Gonzales,Franmil Reyes, Mike Freeman, Jonathan Schoop, Michael Brantley, Robbie Grossman, Greg Anderson.
Weather:
Wind blowing in 10-12 MPH DET@CLE Wind blowing in 14-15 MPH CWS@MIN
Wind blowing out 6-10 MPH KC@OAK
Sources:
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