09/18 MLB Bets and DFS Picks



09/18

Bets

Orioles F5 -0.5 (+120)

Adrian Houser o5.5 SO (-150)

Sea/Pit o9 (-125)


Parlay: MIN ML,BAL F5,CLE (+222)


DFS

Home Run Call(S):

Miguel Sano

  • Ivan Nova over the past 30 days is giving up a 16.7% HR/FB rate paired with a 5.29 xFIP and 5.40 SIERA.

  • The wind is blowing out 8-10 MPH in MIN.

  • Sano has a .309 ISO, 42.9% FB rate, and 53.4% Hard Contact rate against RHP this season.

Stacks:

The Chalk:

Astros

Indians

Twins


Lower Owned:

Braves

Red Sox

Mariners


Pitching(DK):

The Chalk:

Gerrit Cole

Adrian Houser

Dylan Bundy


Contrarian Corner:

Aaron Civale

Dinelson Lament


Positional Breakdown:

C:

J.T Relmuto

Jason Castro

Christian Vazquez

Tom Murphy


1B:

Carlos Santana

Freddie Freeman

Austin Nola

Trey Mancini


2B:

Jose Altuve

Ozzie Albies

Luiz Arraez

Jonathan Villar


SS:

Xander Bogaerts

Francisco Lindor

J.P Crawford

Dansby Swanson


3B:

Alex Bregman

Rafael Devers

Josh Donaldson

Yuli Gurriel

Miguel Sano


OF:

Cody Bellinger

Nelson Cruz

George Springer

Yasiel Puig

Ronald Acuna

Bryce Harper

Andrew Benintendi

Oscar Mercado

Yordan Alvarez


Value:

Luis Arraez,Trent Grisham,Jake Cave,Jason Castro,Nathaniel Lowe,J.P Crawford,Shed Long,Adam Frazier,Jake Bauers,Greg Allen.


Weather:

Wind blowing in 5-8 MPH LAA@NYY Wind blowing in 6-9 MPH TOR@BAL

Wind blowing in 8-10 MPH PHI@ATL

Wind blowing out 8-10 MPH CHW@MIN

Wind blowing in 8-10 MPH CIN@CHC


Sources:

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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