1/06/20 NBA DFS NOTES

Celtics Vs Wizards

Hello everyone glad to finally be back! First off just wanted to say thank you to everyone who has followed me last year, my page grew a lot bigger and faster than I thought it would. Let's make 2020 our best year of DFS yet! On the Celtics side Kemba has been ruled out already. Now you guys know I love to stack against the Wizards and with Kemba missing I have a lot of interest in these Boston guys. To start off Marcus Smart at 5.2k is just too cheap love the play especially with no Kemba. Tatum and Brown are priced up pretty high but I don’t mind taking a shot at them in gpps with them playing heavy minutes and going up against Washington. Wizards are an interesting team because Beal and Ian are questionable and they just waived 2 players from the roster, one being a starter in Jonathan Williams. If Beal misses McRae gets a huge boost, but at 5.7k against a good defensive team I consider McRae more of a gpp play than cash. It’s really hard to say who I like on Washington without the injury news, but if Ian and Beal play they are fine in both cash and gpp as long as they are not restricted. If they both miss it’s hard to say who even plays center for the Wizards at this point, but Troy Brown jr. is a fine play and ish and IT are splitting minutes, but 4.1k I don’t mind Isaiah. (Putting this here for Magic Vs Nets since I don’t have much interest in the game, Vucevic is a really good play in cash or gpp and Jarret Allen a fine play for gpp with his price point down to 5.4k.)


Thunder Vs 76ers

Thunder side I like Chris Paul, 76ers are a good defensive team, especially vs guards. However it is a pace up spot for the Thunder and Cp3 has been playing some of his best basketball recently so I wouldn’t be shocked to see him go for 5x in what should be a competitive game. On the Philly side Tobias Harris is only 6.4k, pretty cheap for a guy who plays in the high 30 minute range, can score 25-30 real points, and gets time at the 4 which helps him get a ton of boards. Al Horford at 5.4k is also affordable, but I would say he is more of a gpp play than cash. 76ers haven't utilized Horford to his fullest and he has expressed displeasure with his role. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the 76ers get him more involved at the offensive end as the season continues. Tobias and Al are fine, however I wouldn’t play both one or the other.


Nuggets Vs Hawks

Another great spot for Jokic, but it's hard for me to get to him with how inconsistent he has been this year. A main reason for it is that Jokic has not been playing that many minutes. In most of his games it’s rare to see him get over 31-32 minutes and if this game is not close and blows out he will probably see 27-28. I think Jokic is fine for tournaments, but risky in cash. Garry Harris at 4.5k is also a good value don’t mind him. Not big on the Hawks even if Collins sits because everyone has been priced up and it’s a major pace down spot for them against a good defensive team.


Jazz Vs Pelicans

Donovan Mitchell is in a really good spot vs the Pelicans, which is a pace up spot vs one of the lower tier defensive teams in the league. The thing that worried me about Mitchell with no Conley on the court was that his assist numbers weren’t really going up, but that has changed recently. In his last 5 out of 6 games he has gotten 6 plus assist. Wouldn’t be shocked to see him get a double double tomorrow. Gobert at 7.9k is also a fine play. New Orleans struggles to guard the center spot and I wouldn’t be shocked to see Gobert have a 15 15 or 20 20 game. Joe Ingles is fine for tournaments as well being priced at only 5.7k. Jrue Holiday is questionable if he misses I have interest in JJ Reddick and Josh Hart. you might be wondering what about Lonzo Ball? Lonzo price tag has been shot up to 6.8k and I know he has been playing really good recently, but he is such an inconsistent player. It's hard for me to trust him yet, especially at a 6.8k tag, don’t see the point of taking a risk on him in cash. If Jrue does play I think he is a fine play at only 7.4k.

I have no interest in this game, in cash or tournaments.


Bucks Vs Spurs

Giannis is only 10.9k and normally I say he’s a lock in what should be a competitive game. The only issue is they have not been pushing him because it seems like he is still dealing with back issues. Bud is not a coach to push his starters if he doesn’t have to. I don’t think we just randomly see Giannis play 34-35 minutes tomorrow, I think he stays around 28-30 minute range (Giannis can still kill at 10.9k tag in that many minutes regardless). Bledsole is fine at 6k his minutes are going up every game and on the Spurs side DeMar and LaMarcus are also fine for cash or tournaments.


Bulls Vs Mavericks

Luka has been insane this year and he has been even better when Porzingis misses. He has gotten over 60 fantasy points in his last 3 starts. I think Luka is a fine play in cash and tournaments but is not a necessity. At his price point Luka needs about 61 Dk points for value and although I think he can hit that, I don’t think if you fade him he is going to kill you and I think we have a lot of good mid tier options for tomorrow's slate.


Warriors Vs Kings

Dlo and Draymond have already been ruled out. On the Warriors side I really don’t have much interest as of now. It’s a pace down spot and a lot of the players have been priced up. It really depends on what Kerr does with his starting lineup, because if Chriss and WCS are starting together I think they are fine plays. If Eric Paschall stars he is one of the better values on the slate along with Ky Bowman at 3.5k. Not really big on anyone on the Kings side, Golden State has been playing at a low pace and has been one of the better defensive teams in the past month. I think Holmes is fine, outside that not big on anyone else.

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