11/11 NBA DFS Notes and Picks


If you need a list of beat reporters by team: https://twitter.com/M1tchGud/lists Injury Watch/Effects:

  • Blake Griffin is back tonight and Derrick Rose is questionable and Tim Frazier is expected to return, with Griffin back he will be on a minutes limit, but still expect Andre Drummond's usage to take a hit. If Derrick Rose and Time Frazier play Bruce Brown Jr. and Luke Kennard's usage should drop as well.

  • Gordon Hayward is out tonight, expect Marcus Smart (Great FD Play) and Jayson Tatum to see a bump in minutes and usage.

  • Lonzo Ball is out tonight, expect Brandon Ingram and Jrue Holiday to soak up that usage, also makes J.J Reddick an intresting GPP play.

  • Jeff Teague is out and Shabazz Napier is doubtful, if both expect Andrew Wiggins, Jarrett Culiver, Josh Okogie to be good values.

  • Draymond Green is expected to return today, expect Omari Spellman and Eric Paschall values to take a hit.

Cash Targets:

Chris Boucher, Derrick Favors, Russell Westbrook, Brandon Ingram, Jrue Holiday.

My Favorites:

PG:

  • James Hardin - In a game with a 242 point total and a monster 125 point implied team total I am going want to get as many studs from this game as I can. There is enough value on this slate to reach Hardin who is a better GPP play because of price.

  • Dejounte Murray - One of the most efficient fantasy players in production per minute, and at $6.0K on DraftKings he is worth a shot in GPP's. Only concern is that he has been hovering around a 25 minute limit.

SG:

  • Jrue Holiday - With the absence of Lonzo Ball Holiday should see increased usage in the highest total game of the night at a relatively cheep price tag of only $7.4K on DK.

  • Luka Doncic - Will be a one of my favorite GPP plays because his price tag and most of the attention going to the Houston/ New Orleans game, anytime you can get a stud that is almost averaging a triple double with lower ownership consider me intrigued.

SF:

  • Brandon Ingram - Just like Jrue, he is just too cheep in a shootout with Lonzo now out tonight. One of my favorite plays tonight.

  • Kawhi Leonard - The Claw is a great play every night and is going up his old club. My only worry is with the absence of Kyle Lowrey and Surge Ibaka this might be a blow out and we wont see a full allotment of minutes, if you are playing the claw in GPPs I would recommend running it back with Pascal Sakiam and FVV hoping the game stays competitive.

PF:

  • Chris Boucher - In the absence of Serge Boucher got 24 minutes of playing time at $3.2K racking up 29.5 DK points, with DK being incompetent they forgot to price him up and is still $3.4K making him a cash game lock for me.

  • Kristaps Porzingis - Missed the last game with load management, so he should be fully rested at a cheep price point against one of the bottom 5 teams in defensive efficiency against forwards.

C:

  • Derrick Favors - Scary play here but got up to 29 minutes last time out, if he gets the same run again in a game against Houston with an implied total of 242 it should be near impossible for him to not crush value.

  • Karl-Anthony Towns - Better center value than Drummond because of Blake Griffin coming back, know his fantasy ceiling just have to be careful for foul trouble in this match up.

Value:

Chris Boucher, Derrick Favors, Normon Bowell, Kenrich Williams (if starting), Jarrett Culvier.

GPP Plays:

Montrezl Harrell, Mike Conley, Dejounte Murray, Mark Gasol, J.J Reddick

My Cash thoughts pending no injury updates:


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