11/15 NBA DFS Notes and Picks


If you need a list of beat reporters by team:

https://twitter.com/M1tchGud/lists


Reddish and Bembry getting ejected last night screwed us, lets get it back tonight.


Injury Watch/Effects:

  • De'Aaron Fox is out tonight, Dewayne Dedmon and Trevor Ariza are questionable, Corey Joseph, Bogdan Bogdanovich, Nemanja Bjelica, Buddy Hield should all see an uptick in minutes and usage.

  • Myles Turner is out, Jeremy Lamb is doubtful and Goga Bitadze is probable but on a minutes limit, expect Domantis Sabonis, Malcom Brogdon, and T.J Warren to see their increased usage continue. Look to Doug McDermott for a decent GPP dart throw.

  • Jordan Bell is questionable and Shabazz Napier is doubtful, Look to Jeff Teague and Andrew Wiggins to continue to see increased usage. This also makes Jake Layman an intresting GPP play.

  • Avery Bradley is out tonight this could bump Rajon Rondo into the starting lineup tonight.

  • Clint Capela, Daniel House Jr., and Eric Gordon are all out tonight and Russell Westbrook might sit tonight. If Russell Westbrook just bite the bullet and click on James Hardin the dude had 80-100 DK point upside in this game if RWB misses. These injuries make Tyson Chandler or P.J Tucker a lock for me in all formats.

  • Gordon Hayward is out tonight and Daniel Theis is questionable, if Daniel Theis misses this makes Enes Kanter a great play.

Cash Targets:

Karl Anthony-Towns, P.J Tucker or Tyson Chandler, Draymond Green, Andre Drummond.


My Favorites:

PG:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - at just $5.9K on DK SGA's price tag is the lowest of the season, at that price tag i'm willing to take a jab at someone who has 40 point upside any night.

  • Jeff Teague - Teague was able to put up 33.5 DK points off the bench in only 23 minutes last game, in a game with a 242.5 implied total and the possibility of getting back into the starting rotation Teague should absolutely be able to absolutely smash given more minutes and a pace up game. Will also be lower owned since he is the same price as Isiah Thomas.

SG:

  • Donovan Mitchell - Memphis has been absolute awful against the Shooting Guard position, look at Malik Monk (39.5 DK points) and Evan Fournier (39.75 DK points) performance's as of late against the Griz. Mitchell who has been hot as of late should be able to crush at this price tag.

  • Malcom Brogdon - at $7.6K on DK Brogdon is great in both GPPs and cash he has a pretty safe floor and has the potential to drop a 50 burger any night especially in a game with a 225 total.

SF:

  • P.J Tucker - With Clint Capela, Daniel House Jr., Eric Gordon, and maybe Russell Westbrook out tonight Tucker and Tyson Chandler will be just too cheep at just $4.5K on DK he has legitimate 30-40 point upside.

  • Jonathan Isaac - Just a conviction play for me, at $6K and will garner under 10% ownership I love taking stabs at players with 40-50 point upside.

PF:

  • Draymond Green - His minutes are creeping up since coming back if he gets back into the 30's tonight he will crush a $5.3K DK price tag.

  • Domantas Sabonis - With the Rockets missing so many bodies down low, Sabonis should be able to absolutely crush in a game with the second highest game total of 225.5, Goga will also be on a minutes limit.

C:

  • Andre Drummond - Ownership will be lower because of Blake Griffin rejoining the team, but he will likely be on a 20-25 minute limit in this contest, Drummond has been priced all the way down to $8.6K on DK because of this. He should be able to hit value easily in a fast paced match up with the Heat.

Value:

Cory Joseph, Robert Covington, P.J Tucker, Troy Brown Jr., Jake Layman., Tyson Chandler


GPP Plays(Pick 1-2):

Mike Conley (revenge narrative), Karl Anthony-Towns (Birthday narrative), Davis Bertans, Nikola Vucevic , Kemba Walker, Austin Rivers, Bradley Beal, T.J Warren.


My Cash thoughts pending no injury updates:

*Will update after injury news*

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