11/8 NBA DFS Notes and Picks


If you need a list of beat reporters by team:

https://twitter.com/M1tchGud/lists


Injury Watch/Effects:

  • Jeremy Lamb and Goga Bitadze are out tonight and Myles Turner is questionable, if Myles Turner is out expect Domantas Sabonis to get the lion share of the minutes with Goga already missing. This will also boost Malcom Brogdon's usage rate and you expect some positive shooting regression from the other night where he was able to get to 38 DK points off of a 3 of 14 shooting performance.

  • DeAndre Jordan is questionable, if out Jarrett Allen will be a one of my favorite plays.

  • Derrick Rose, Tim Frazier, Blake Griffin are all out tonight the usual suspects Bruce Brown Jr. and Andre Drummond will continue to get upper 30 minutes and massive usage.

  • Justice Winslow is out tonight. Duncan Robinson should get the start in his place and be a great value.

  • Jeff Teague is out Shabazz Napier is a GTD, Jarrett Culver is an auto lock on Fan Fuel.

  • Ben Simmons is out tonight, expect Josh Richardson to get more usage. Raul Neto might pull the start if so he will be a great value.

  • Draymond Green is out and D'Angelo Russell is questionable, if D-Lo misses look to Alec Burks for some good value.

  • Mitchell Robinson, Elfrid Payton, Dennis Smith Jr. are all out tonight, with Julius Randel at $6.9K on DK and almost no one else for Fizdale to play to steal minutes from him Randel becomes a near lock for me on both sites.

Cash Targets:

Raul Neto,Karl-Anthony Towns,Julius Randel, Malcom Brogdon, Jimmy Butler.


My Favorites:

PG:

  • Fred Vanvleet - ($6.2K DK |$6.8K FD) at $6.2K on Draft Kings FVV is one of the best values on the slate and tonight he will get a huge pace up against the Pelicans who are also a bottom 5 defense against point guards in the league.

  • Damien Lillard - ($9.0K DK |$10.1K FD) In a match up against Kyrie this has the looks of a shoot out between the two and anytime you have 2 elite point guards going against each other I am intrigued in stacking this game. With only 2 games this year under 50 and none under 40 Lillard is the model of constancy he started off on fire last night and cooled off, I'm hoping that he can keep up his start last night for the entire game and am hoping to bring back the game with Jarrett Allen.

SG:

  • Malcom Brogdon - ($8.3K DK | $8.8K FD) with Jeremy Lamb already out and Myles Turner questionable Brogdon's already insane 27% usage will get a bump up. I'm also hoping to get him at lower ownership because of his last performance of only 38 DK points, but what people fail to realize that is on 3 of 14 shooting which I expect to positively regress.

  • Jimmy Butler - ($7.4K DK | $9.2K) right back to the well with Butler, this is a DK only play for me. He is just too cheep plain and simple with Justice Winslow out they will lean on him again tonight and with 50 Fantasy Point upside I love that price tag on DK.

SF:

  • Troy Brown Jr. - ($4.4K DK | $4.0K) with Scott Brooks announcing the benching of Issac Bonga Troy Brown Jr. becomes one of my favorite Fan Duel plays if he starts. Only worry is that Brooks played C.J Myles an extended amount of minutes in the second half of last night game.

  • Jarrett Culver - ($5.0K DK | $3.8K FD) with Teague out and Shabazz a GTD Culver is egregiously miss priced on FD this makes him a cash lock.

PF:

  • Julius Randel - ($6.9K DK | $7.0K FD) with Mitchell Robinson missing tonight for a concussion even Fizdale will have a hard time limiting him to anything under 35 min (insert tilt when Taj Gibson becomes Fizdale's favorite). At these price Julius is a lock for me on both sites.

  • Richaun Holmes - ($5.8K DK | $6.4K FD) Holmes has averaged almost 32 DK points over his last 5 games and 3 have been against top 10 defenses in the league against power forwards, I love this match up against a hawks team that will be working in a rotation of scrubs in the absence of John Collins that should give him a solid cash floor and high ceiling for GPP's while at an affordable price.

C:

  • Karl-Anthony Towns - ($10.3K DK | $11.5K FD) KAT didn't have a great outing but last time out but the usage was there, with Jeff Teague already out and Shabazz a GTD expect KAT to absolutely eat against the warriors who are allowing the second most point per possession while Minnesota has the fastest pace in the NBA.

  • Nikola Vucevic - ($7.8K | $8.4K) Purely a GPP play but with Terrance Ross out for tonight the Magic will be forced to run a tight 10 man rotation. Historically Vucevic also had better numbers at home, with the combination of a cheep price tag(on DK), low ownership, more usage this qualifies him as a good GPP play for me on DK.

Value:

Raul Neto, Evan Fournier, Troy Brown Jr., Duncan Robinson,Aaron Holiday.


GPP Plays:

D'Angelo Russel,Hassan Whiteside, Jarrett Allen (if DJ is out),Trae Young, Bradley Beal bring it back with Kevin Love, Kelly Olynyk, Davis Bertans, Bogan Bogdanovich,Nikola Vucevic.


My Cash thoughts pending no injury updates:

*Will update later after injury news*



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