12/28 NBA DFS Notes and Picks


If you need a list of beat reporters by team:

https://twitter.com/M1tchGud/lists


Injury Watch/Effects:

  • Moe Wagner, Davis Bertans, Rui Hachimura are all out tonight with Bradley Beal Questionable

  • Norman Powell,Marc Gasol, Pascal Siakam are all out tonight

  • Marvin Bagley and De'Aaron Fox are out tonight, look to Nemanja Bjelica and Corey Joseph to move into the starting lineup.

  • Deandre Ayton remains out tonight, Aron Baynes will remain the starter.

  • Matisse Thybull is out and Tobias Harris is questionable tonight, if Harris misses expect Furkan Kormkaz to move into the starting lineup.

  • Andrew Wiggins and Karl Anthony-Towns are questionable tonight, if both miss expect Jeff Teague and Gorgui Dieng to be mega chalk.

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo and Eric Bledsoe are out tonight, Ersan Ilyasova will start in the Greek Freaks place again and the Bucs will lean on Khris Middleton once again.

  • LeBron James is questionable tonight.

  • Malcom Brogdon is questionable tonight, Aaron Holiday will get the start and T.J McConnell will get a usage bump.

  • Clint Capela is out tonight, Gary Clark Jr could be named the starter but Russell Westbrook sees huge boost in his rebounding rates with Capela out.

  • Markieff Morris and Luke Kennard are out tonight, look to Christian Wood or Thon Maker to get a bump in minutes.

  • Trae Young is out and Jabari Parker,Alex Len are questionable tonight, Expect Evan Turner and Cam Reddish to be good values tonight.

  • Kevin Love is out tonight and Darius Garland is questionable, Larry Nance Jr will probably start in Love's place.

  • Bradley Beal is questionable.....if he misses the slate is just a shit show.

Cash Targets:

Larry Nance Jr., Russell Westbrook, Ersan Ilysova, Paul George, Brook Lopez, Cam Reddish.


My Favorites:

PG:

  • Russell Westbrook - With the absence of Clint Capela Westbrook's rebounding numbers skyrocket, this paired with going up against a soft match up in the Nets makes RWB one of the top plays for me tonight.

  • Jeff Teague (If Wiggins sits) - Teague has absolutely crushed when Wiggins has missed and at 5.3K against Cleveland he will be in most of my lineups if Wiggins misses.

  • (Elfrid Payton Bonus GPP if Bradley Beal sits) - If Beal sits that means Payton will be matched up against the porous defense of Isiah Thomas in an up paced game against the Wizards legit 50 point upside if this happens.

SG:

  • Luka Doncic - It is hard to find studs outside of the Houston game that you can be confident in (Houston even has blow out risk) Luka put up 70 in 3 quarters the last time these teams matched up, and with all the value because of injuries you can easily get to him.

  • Cam Reddish - With Trae Young out Reddish gets a 3.8% usage bump and averages +6.24 fantasy points per 48 min over a 230 minute sample. At 3.9K on DK and going up against Chicago reddish becomes a great value play.

SF:

  • Nemanja Bjelica (FD) - At only 4.5K on FD Bjelica becomes an auto lock on FanDuel for me with Bagley and Fox out Bjelica has the ability to go for 40+ easily.

  • P.J Tucker/ Danuel House Jr. - With all the vacated minutes Tucker and House should get a nice usage and minutes bump, even though projections lean Tucker i would probably Side with House.

PF:

  • Larry Nance Jr. - Kevin love has been ruled out tonight and Nance has crushed whenever he has gotten the opportunity, my only worry is that he is also dealing with some knee soreness.

  • Ersan Ilyasova - We saw what he does when Giannis misses, don't expect him to put up the same numbers as last night because he is now one the 2nd end of a B2B and going up against the Magic but expect him to be a solid cash game play.

C:

  • Brook Lopez - Same story as Ilyasova just plug and play him in cash.

  • Mitchell Robinson - Truthfully center is pretty awful tonight, if Robinson can stay out of trouble tonight either he or Morris will absolutely crush down low against the Wizards.

Value:

Larry Nance Jr., Ersan Ilyasova, Brook Lopez, Corey Joseph, Cam Reddish, Nemanja Bjelica(FD)


GPP Plays:

Richaun Holmes, Bogdan Bogdanovich, Troy Brown, LMA, Mitchell Robinson, Richaun Holmes


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