Mitch Kjeldgaard5/4/2022 MLB DFS News and Notes
5/4
Slate Overview:
Games: 7
Weather Concerns:
Rain:
LAA@BOS
WAS@COL
Wind:
WAS@COL - Wind blowing in 9-11 MPH.
SFG@LAD - Wind blowing out to left 11-13 MPH.
Things that stand out to me:
Gonslin's xFIP and SEIRA are significantly higher than his ERA...he has upped his GB rate...could be some negative regression coming his way.
NYY hitters are crushing LHPs this year.
DFS:
HR Calls:
Seya Suzuki or Pat Wisdom
Rowdy Tellez or Christian Yelich
Aaron Judge
Kike Hernandez
Top Pitchers:
Kyle Bradish
Nestor Cortez Jr
Freddy Peralta
Dylan Bundy
Top Stacks:
NYY
MIL
Game by Game
MIN@BAL
Kyle Bradish
Bradish was an absolute stud in the minors but got knocked around a bit by the Red Sox, I'm not out on him yet.
$5.5K on DK going up against a team with 5 hitters with a K rate over 27% v RHPs this year.
5 Twins have an ISO less than .100 v RHPs this year and none in the lineup today have an ISO over .165 v RHPs this year.
Dylan Bundy
Had a bad outing vs the Rays but I think we can all agree that the O's aren't anywhere near as scary as the Rays.
7 O's hitters have over a 20% K rate to RHPs this year.
5 hitters have an ISO less and .100 v RHPs this year.
Odor, hayes, Santander, and Mullins are the ones to focus on if you want to stack against.
NYY@TOR
Nestor Cortez Jr
5 TOR hitters have an ISO of .000 v LHPs this year.
Springer, Bichette, and Espinal all have ISOs over .300 v LHPs.
7 TOR hitters with K rates over 22% v LHPs this year.
Yusei Kikuchi
6.29 xFIP, .250 ISO allowed to LHHs, and a .293 ISO to RHHs.
Yankees as a team have a .240 ISO v LHPs this year.
LeMahieu, Judge, Rizzo, and Stanton all have ISOs over .200 v LHPs this season.
LAA@BOS
Reid Demtmers
6 BOS hitters have a sub .100 ISO v LHPs this year.
Not a good K matchup.
Hernandez and Martinez are the only Red Sox I would look to.
Gerrit Whitlock
Short leash but if he gets enough innings the guy can rack up fantasy points with a 30% K rate.
8 LAA batters with a K rate over 20% (6 over 25%)
Would only look to Trout, Marsh, Ohtani, Stassi
CWS@CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Giving up an ISO over .200 to both sides of the plate.
Only Harrison has an ISO over .150 v RHPs this year.
Only 2 White Sox striking out more than 20% of the time to RHPs this year.
Lucas Giolito
Rivas, Wisdom, Suzuki, and Contreras all have ISOs over .150 v RHPs this year.
Gio has a 38% K rate this year, 7 CHC batters have a K rate over 20% v RHPs this year.
CIN@MIN
Vlad Gutierrez
8.52 xFIP!!!!
.364 ISO allowed to LHHs.
4 LHHs in MILs LU tonight, focus Wong, Adames, Yelich, Tellez.
Freddy Peralta
Only allowing a .034 ISO to LHHs this year but allowing a .154 ISO to RHHs.
6 CIN hitters striking out more than 20% of the time with 4 of them striking out more than 30% of the time v RHPs this year.
Would only worry about Drury/Pham/
SFG@LAD
Tony Gonslin
3 Man stack of Vosler, Bart, Pederson.
Only allowing a .065 ISO or LHHs and .032 ISO to RHHs this year but has a 5.21 xFIP which means he has some regression coming soon.
Alex Wood
6 Dodgers striking out more than 20% of the time.
He is giving up a .214 ISO to LHHs and a .159 ISO to RHHs this season.
Bellinger, Taylor, Smith, and Freeman all have ISOs over .185 v LHPs this year.