AT&T Byron Nelson @ TPC Craig Ranch:
Topics for today heading into tomorrow’s Event:
Revisiting player opinions
With all sports, you typically want to follow the flow. If the Dallas Cowboys open at -3 and the line closes at -6.5, they were a good bet at -3, regardless of the outcome. Fortunately for the purpose of DFS, the ownership projections increasing and decreasing as the Vegas odds increase and decrease serve as useful information. For example: Fitzpatrick was coming in at low ownership to start but his numbers have moved up which tells me he is potentially a good play. Follow the flow, both ways.
Everybody knows somebody and if you dig deep enough, sometimes you can uncover a valuable tip or two. I reached out to a couple amateur/pro golfers that have played on TPC Craig Ranch recently and inquired about the course, among various other things. Since brevity is appreciated, I will simply touch on a few things I took away from the conversations. “Long Irons” will serve valuable this weekend in Texas. It is worth noting that Bryson and the other heavy hitters off the tee will not have as many long iron situations as the average golfer. When I asked about the Bentgrass greens versus the last couple weeks of Bermuda greens, the consensus was interesting to me since I am admittedly not a golfer myself. Quality Bermuda greens putters can putt on other greens, but quality Bentgrass greens putters may have trouble with Bermuda greens. I am sure there are many out there that would disagree with this notion, but the same guy that told me Gary Woodland last week told me this pearl of wisdom, so there is that. Lastly, both guys I spoke to said to go with the long drivers and not to be shy with the
European players. More was discussed, but since this is not a podcast or a video, I am trying to keep it somewhat reasonable in length.
In order not to spread yourself too thin, in the “my data” tab of advanced options, you can create a minimum number of points required for a lineup to be generated. This will help weed out potentially the worst lineups that if you sifted through them all after generation, you probably would not want to be using. Randomness is key to landing on unique lineups, as is leaving salary on the table. I personally will not be leaving more than $100 on the table this week, but $200-$300 is not the craziest thing, especially
for this week. As for the randomness, I am going with 12% this week because of a slightly tighter pool than normal, but 15-20% is advised.