Daily Article 08/19

Updated: Aug 20, 2019



Rangers F5 +0.5 (-135) L

- Personal (bias) play. I like Allard's stuff and think there is value here because the public is overvaluing Dillon Peters. I think this is the game the wheels fall off for Peters....Rangers TTo6 looks interesting considering LAA's decimated bullpen.

- LAA has been struggling with hitting LHP's the last month with a team OBS of .193

Twins -1.5 (-125) L

- The White Sox are a joke at this point in the season, with a Vegas IRT (Implied Run Total) of 3.8 and Twins with an IRT of 5.7 this should be all that needs to be said.

- Nova (2 ER combined in his last 5 starts) has been pitching well above his means and is due for some regression.

- Keep an eye on Max Kepler's DTD tag.

Nationals F5 -0.5 (+105) W

- Joe Ross has given up 1 ER in the month of august (3 Starts)

- With a SIERA approaching 6 Trevor Williams has had a rough go about it since the All- Star break, and it looks like it wont get any easier facing the Nationals who have won 5 of their last 6 games while putting up 59 runs!

Diamondbacks F5 -0.5 (-140) L

- Zac Gallen's 10.17 K/9 coupled with the Rockies striking out 10.29 times per game while on the road makes for some interesting S/O props if your book has them.

- Gallen has also done great with run prevention earning himself a 4.03 SIERA.


Home Run Call(s):

Aristides Aquino (duh)

Hunter Dozier

- Has a .308 ISO v LHP & .631 xSLG v LHP in 91 Plate appearances this season.

- He matches up well with John Means giving up the second highest xHR/9 on the slate paired 48.6% Fly Ball rate this season. (for more on the xHR/9 stat look at some of @PAYDIRT_DFS work)

- Projected to be 95°C at first pitch with 50% humidity and winds of 5 MPH blowing out.

- All of this and Jorge Soler will probably dong instead.


The Chalk:





(Blue indicates favorite)

Contrarian Corner:

Game stack Bal/KCR




The Chalk:

Wade Miley (Fade)

Brendan McKay (-3.10)

Zac Gallen (20.90)

Kyle Gibson (8.80)

Contrarian Corner:

Marco Gonzales (Sub 10%)

Kolby Allard

Trevor Bauer (30.15)

Positional Breakdown:


Mitch Garver

Yasmani Grandal

Pedro Severino

Carson Kelly


Danny Santana

Trey Mancini

Renato Nunez

Paul Goldschmidt


Jose Altuve

Jonathan Villar

Eduardo Escobar

Rougned Odor

Whit Merrifield


Elvis Andrus

Carlos Correa (Hurt)

Trea Turner

Jorge Polanco


Alex Bregman

Hunter Dozier

Eugenio Suarez

Miguel Sano

Anthony Rendon


Mike Trout (Even though I like Allard he will give up a bomb

George Springer

Jorge Soler

Aristides Aquino

Max Kepler (DTD)

Sin-Soo Choo

Juan Soto

Anthony Santander

Marcell Ozuna

David Peralta


Yan Gomes,Yadier Molina,Jake Lamb,Albert Pujols,C.J Cron,Jose Peraza, Brian Dozier, Hansler Alberto,David Fletcher,Jace Peterson,Dexter Fowler, Alex Gordon,Josh Reddick,Cheslor Cuthbert, Rio Ruiz, DJ Stewart

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