
Daily Article 08/22
Updated: Aug 22, 2019
08/22
Bets
Rockies F5 +0.5 (-130) W
- German Marquez has had the unfortunate luck of being a pitcher for the Rockies and having to pitch half of his starts at Coors Field and as a result you can see his massive splits below.
- With going from the #1 worst park for a pitcher to pitch in to the #5 best I believe that Marquez should be able to flash his dominance against the the pitiful Cardinals who have ranked in the bottom 5 for runs scored in the first 5 innings.
- Marquez splits also favor him in this match up, being much better against righties and the Cardinals only being able to trot out 3 players (Fowler,Wong, and Edman) not known for their power power confirms my interest in this spot.
Rangers/ White Sox o10.5 (-125) L
- The combination of Ariel Jurado's 5.04 SIERA and Ross Detwiler's 4.88 SIERA & 7.33 FIP these are two of the worst pitchers on the slate in the same match up.
- The are two things I would keep an eye on though. Currently winds are blowing left to right at 13-15 MPH!! keep an eye on this if they shift to blowing out mash the over and if they blow in I would be off the play. Secondly, Detwiler sports a 56.3% Ground Ball Rate(Highest on the slate) which is very concerning if the winds start to blow in, but he does own a 14.6 K% which is one of the worst in the league.
Rays F5 -0.5 (-145) L
- Ryan Yarbrough has been absolutely dominant on the road this year (see below) and he gets to face the the lackluster Orioles.

- Not only do the Rays have the advantage at facing one of the worst offenses in baseball they also get to match up against journeyman Asher Wojciechowski who has a SIERA of 5.66 and 2.20 HR/9.
Parlay: Rays ML,Dodgers F5 -0.5,Rockies F5 +0.5 (+302)
DFS
Home Run Call(s):
Austin Meadows
- Owns a .532 xSLG against RHP as well as .250 ISO this matches up well with Asher Wojciechowski's 2.20 HR/9.
- 8-10 MPH wind is blowing out at Camden Yards .
Stacks:
The Chalk:
Astros
Rays (Mega chalk)
Rangers
Less Owned:
Braves
Dodgers
Nationals
Athletics (Tanaka gets lit up on the road: Semien,Olson,Profar as a low own mini stack)
Pitching(DK):
The Chalk:
Gerrit Cole
Mike Soroka (Going to be mega chalk like him but has some bad home/away splits)
Max Scherzer
Contrarian Corner:
German Marquez
Kenta Maeda
Positional Breakdown:
C:
Travis D'Arnaud
James McCann
Gary Sanchez
Will Smith
Kurt Suzuki
1B:
Max Muncy
Freddie Freeman
Ji-Man Choi
Jose Abreau
Matt Olson
2B:
Eric Sogard
Nick Solak
Jose Altuve
Brian Dozier
SS:
Corey Seager
Alex Bregman
Marcus Semien
Trea Turner
3B:
Justin Turner
Anthony Rendon
Matt Chapman
Yoan Moncada
OF:
Austin Meadows
Cody Bellinger
Hunter Pence
Tommy Pham
Yordan Alavrez
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Willie Calhoun
Juan Soto
Leury Garcia
Value:
Nick Solak,Tyler Flowers,Brian Dozier, Jesus Aguilar,Logan Forsythe, Matt Duffy
Weather:
- Winds of 13-15 MPH blowing left to right for CWS/TEX.
- Winds blowing out 8-10 MPH for BAL/TB as well as storms.
- Scatted storms around PIT/WAS game chance at a delay.
General Notes:
- Tanaka's ERA almost doubles on the road but is also 16-6 in F5 betting