top of page

Daily Article 08/22

Updated: Aug 22, 2019




Rockies F5 +0.5 (-130) W

- German Marquez has had the unfortunate luck of being a pitcher for the Rockies and having to pitch half of his starts at Coors Field and as a result you can see his massive splits below.

- With going from the #1 worst park for a pitcher to pitch in to the #5 best I believe that Marquez should be able to flash his dominance against the the pitiful Cardinals who have ranked in the bottom 5 for runs scored in the first 5 innings.

- Marquez splits also favor him in this match up, being much better against righties and the Cardinals only being able to trot out 3 players (Fowler,Wong, and Edman) not known for their power power confirms my interest in this spot.

Rangers/ White Sox o10.5 (-125) L

- The combination of Ariel Jurado's 5.04 SIERA and Ross Detwiler's 4.88 SIERA & 7.33 FIP these are two of the worst pitchers on the slate in the same match up.

- The are two things I would keep an eye on though. Currently winds are blowing left to right at 13-15 MPH!! keep an eye on this if they shift to blowing out mash the over and if they blow in I would be off the play. Secondly, Detwiler sports a 56.3% Ground Ball Rate(Highest on the slate) which is very concerning if the winds start to blow in, but he does own a 14.6 K% which is one of the worst in the league.

Rays F5 -0.5 (-145) L

- Ryan Yarbrough has been absolutely dominant on the road this year (see below) and he gets to face the the lackluster Orioles.

- Not only do the Rays have the advantage at facing one of the worst offenses in baseball they also get to match up against journeyman Asher Wojciechowski who has a SIERA of 5.66 and 2.20 HR/9.

Parlay: Rays ML,Dodgers F5 -0.5,Rockies F5 +0.5 (+302)


Home Run Call(s):

Austin Meadows

- Owns a .532 xSLG against RHP as well as .250 ISO this matches up well with Asher Wojciechowski's 2.20 HR/9.

- 8-10 MPH wind is blowing out at Camden Yards .


The Chalk:


Rays (Mega chalk)


Less Owned:




Athletics (Tanaka gets lit up on the road: Semien,Olson,Profar as a low own mini stack)


The Chalk:

Gerrit Cole

Mike Soroka (Going to be mega chalk like him but has some bad home/away splits)

Max Scherzer

Contrarian Corner:

German Marquez

Kenta Maeda

Positional Breakdown:


Travis D'Arnaud

James McCann

Gary Sanchez

Will Smith

Kurt Suzuki


Max Muncy

Freddie Freeman

Ji-Man Choi

Jose Abreau

Matt Olson


Eric Sogard

Nick Solak

Jose Altuve

Brian Dozier


Corey Seager

Alex Bregman

Marcus Semien

Trea Turner


Justin Turner

Anthony Rendon

Matt Chapman

Yoan Moncada


Austin Meadows

Cody Bellinger

Hunter Pence

Tommy Pham

Yordan Alavrez

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Willie Calhoun

Juan Soto

Leury Garcia


Nick Solak,Tyler Flowers,Brian Dozier, Jesus Aguilar,Logan Forsythe, Matt Duffy


- Winds of 13-15 MPH blowing left to right for CWS/TEX.

- Winds blowing out 8-10 MPH for BAL/TB as well as storms.

- Scatted storms around PIT/WAS game chance at a delay.

General Notes:

- Tanaka's ERA almost doubles on the road but is also 16-6 in F5 betting

32 views0 comments