Diamondbacks F5 -0.5 (+125)
With the exception of Mike Yastrzmski and Austin Slater the rest of SF looks to be absolutely lost against LHP ( See below)
This in combination with Tyler Beede's recent performance (4.82 xFIP, 4.71 SIERA, and 8.72 ERA L30 ) makes me like this spot.
Brewers F5 -0.5 (+105)
Gio Gonzales has only allowed 1 run in 3 of his last 4 starts
Brewers have been dominating RHP this season (Yelich .393 ISO,Huria .315,Moustakas .275)
Adam Wainwright has some awful home and away splits (See Below)
Parlay: CIN ML, LAD ML,SF/AZ o9 (+419)
Home Run Call(S):
Just getting back from paternity leave (love that narrative), Harper is has a 44.1% Hard Contact Rate, .225 ISO, and .355 wOBA against righties.
Joe Musgrove is sporting a 1.67 HR/9 this year and 16.7% HR/FB rate over the last 30 days.
PNC park is one of the top 5 wort parks for pitchers.
Tyler Beede over the last 30 days is giving up a 52% Hard Contact Rate and a 33.3% HR/FB rate!!!
While playing at oracle park might be great news fore a pitcher, I believe that Beede's recent performance and winds blowing out up to 10 MPH are a recipe for disaster.
Escobar has a .239 ISO and 45.6 FB rate against RHP.
Alex Avila or Carson Kelly could be substitute in here.
Value: Buster Posey,Christian Walker,Brad Miller,Matt Carpenter,Orlando Arcia,Dustin Solano,Trent Grisham, Khris Davis, Jorge Soler, Jake Lamb
Winds blowing out 7-10 MPH ARI@SF
Winds blowing in and to the right 8-10 MPH OAK@KC (Storming watch for PPD)