Daily Article 08/27


08/27

Bets

Yankees -1.5 (-120)

  1. Yusei Kikuchi over the last 30 days has given up a 26.9 HR/FB rate which plays right into the Yankees strengths

  2. As you can see below the Yankees have absolutely destroying LHP's this year



Nationals TT o5.5 (-125)

  1. The Nationals have 5 players with over a .200 ISO against RHP this season (Rendon,Soto,Turner,Adams,Kendrick)

  2. Aaron Brooks over the last 30 days has given up 23.1% HR/FB rate and has earned himself a 5.23 SIERA and 5.60 xFIP. As well as a 2.06 HR/9 on the season


Parlay: Nationals ML, Yankees ML, Athletics ML (+200)


DFS

Home Run Call(S)

Juan Soto

  1. Soto has a 41.3% Hard Contact Rate, .285 ISO, and 38.4% Fly Ball rate against RHP's this year

  2. Over the last 30 days Aaron Brooks has given up a 21.3% HR/FB rate as well as a 5.23 SIERA.

  3. For the season Brook's is giving up .276 ISO to lefties as well as a 40.3% Hard contact rate

J.D Martinez

  1. In Coors against a rookie pitcher making his first start, I hate writing up Coors HR's because it doesn't feel cool to call.

  2. Rico Garcia has a 2.1 HR/9 in Triple A lul


Stacks:

The Chalk:

Red Sox

Rockies

Nationals


Contrarian Corner:

Giants (Dickerson,Yastrzemski,Vogut super low owned mini stack)

Yankees

Athletics


Pitching(DK):

The Chalk:

Patrick Corbin

Walker Buehler

Luis Castillio

Adrian Houser


Contrarian Corner:

Michael Pineda (winds could be blowing up to 15 mph out :/ )

Andrew Heaney


Positional Breakdown:

C:

Christian Vasquez

Gary Sanchez

Stephen Vogut

Yan Gomes

Tony Wolters


1B:

Mark Canha

Matt Adams

Matt Oleson

Mitch Moreland


2B:

Gleyber Torres

Howie Kendrick

Keston Hiura

Scooter Gennett

Brock Holt


SS:

Francisco Lindor

Marcus Semien

Xander Bogaerts

Trea Turner

Trevor Story


3B:

Anthony Rendon

Matt Chapman

Rafael Devers

Noaln Arenado

Asdrubal Cabrera


OF:

Juan Soto

J.D Martinez

Alex Dickerson

Aaron Judge

Mookie Betts

Mike Yastrzemski

Khris Davis

Yasiel Puig



Value:

Khris Davis, Scooter Gennett,Trent Grisham,Matt Joyce,Miguel Cabrera, Yan Gomes


Weather:

Winds blowing out 10-12 MPH MIN@CWS

Winds blowing out 7-10 ARI@SF

Winds blowing out 7-10 CLE@DET


General Thoughts:

  1. Rockies home games have only hit the over once this month (1-10)

  2. I hate Coors and how everyone in a while teams blow up for 10 plus runs there, but i do love the idiots who always stack it no matter what...makes the nationals look real nice tonight


Sources:

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

20 views