Daily Article 08/28

Updated: Aug 29, 2019




08/28

Bets

Cardinals/Brewers u9 (-120) W

  1. Jack Flaherty has given up 5 ER in his last 9 starts combined

  2. Jordan Lyles is my only worry here but he is doing much better against righties this year (See Below) and the Cardinals will only have 3 lefties in (Fowler,Wong,Edman) in the lineup today.

  3. If i had to lean on a team I would go Cardinals F5 as well

  4. Watch for if the roof is open or not in MIL (winds blowing 10-12 MPH out if so)


Indians F5 -0.5 (-145) L

  1. Just yesterday Adam Plutko struck out 9 tigers in just 5.2 innings (He hasn't eclipsed 6 strike outs in 13 other starts this season) .

  2. Aaron Civale has some potential and has looked promising this year, he has much better S/O stuff and Plutko and if the Tigers look anything like they did last night he should have no problem mowing them down.

  3. Jordan Zimmermann has a 8.18 ERA at home this year and is allowing a .313 AVG, .513 SLG, and .891 OPS to LHH this year. The Indians can roll out 5 lefties in (Lindor,Santana,Kipnis,Freeman,Naquin)

  4. Detroit is 6-22-2 in L30 at home Credit: OddsShark


Yankees TT o5.5 (-110) W

  1. Same thought process as yesterday the Yankees are killing LHP.

  2. Yankees are #1 in OPS v LHP in the last 20 days.

  3. Justus Sheffield gave up 7 hits and 3 earned runs in his first start since April against a relatively weak Blue Jays lineup.

  4. Only thing I don't like is that Scheffield has the revenge narrative and only a few months ago was the top pitching prospect in the Yankees farm system before being traded away for Edwin Encarnacion.



Parlay: CLE ML,NYY ML,OAK F5 (+282) W


DFS

Home Run Call(S):

Nelson Cruz

  1. On the season Cruz has a .474 wOBA, .518 ISO, 47.5% FB rate vs LHP

  2. On the season Ross Detwiler is giving up a .291 ISO and 28.9 HR/FB rate against RHH

  3. Winds are blowing out to left 5-10 MIN@CHW

  4. Also think Max Kepler will hit a dong today

Stacks:

The Chalk:

Red Sox

Nationals

Twins


Contrarian Corner:

Angels

Dodgers

Indians


Pitching(DK):

The Chalk:

Max Scherzer

Noah Syndergaard

Kenta Maeda


Contrarian Corner:

Aaron Civale

Sandy Alcantara


Positional Breakdown:

C:

Christian Vazquez

Mitch Garver

Will Smith

Roberto Perez


1B:

Carlos Santana

C.J Cron

Albert Pujols

Cody Bellinger


2B:

Brain Dozier

Jason Kipnis

Max Muncy

Nick Solak


SS:

Francisco Lindor

David Fletcher

Jorge Polanco

Xander Bogaerts


3B:

Rafael Devers

Justin Turner

Miguel Sano

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.


OF:

Mike Trout

Max Kepler

Danny Santana

Yasiel Puig

Nelson Cruz

Mookie Betts

Justin Upton

Juan Soto

Eddie Rosario


Value:

Yasiel Puig, Brian Dozier,Justin Upton, Seth Brown,Jason Kipnis, Marwin Gonzales, Justin Smoak, Cavan Biggio, Ian Desmond


Weather:

Winds blowing out to left 5-10 MIN@CHW

Winds blowing right to left 8-10 MPH CLE@DET

Scattered storms by BAL@WAS


General Thoughts:


Sources:

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

https://www.oddsshark.com

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