Mitch KjeldgaardDaily Article 08/28
Updated: Aug 28, 2019
08/28
Bets
Cardinals/Brewers u9 (-120) W
Jack Flaherty has given up 5 ER in his last 9 starts combined
Jordan Lyles is my only worry here but he is doing much better against righties this year (See Below) and the Cardinals will only have 3 lefties in (Fowler,Wong,Edman) in the lineup today.
If i had to lean on a team I would go Cardinals F5 as well
Watch for if the roof is open or not in MIL (winds blowing 10-12 MPH out if so)
Indians F5 -0.5 (-145) L
Just yesterday Adam Plutko struck out 9 tigers in just 5.2 innings (He hasn't eclipsed 6 strike outs in 13 other starts this season) .
Aaron Civale has some potential and has looked promising this year, he has much better S/O stuff and Plutko and if the Tigers look anything like they did last night he should have no problem mowing them down.
Jordan Zimmermann has a 8.18 ERA at home this year and is allowing a .313 AVG, .513 SLG, and .891 OPS to LHH this year. The Indians can roll out 5 lefties in (Lindor,Santana,Kipnis,Freeman,Naquin)
Detroit is 6-22-2 in L30 at home Credit: OddsShark
Yankees TT o5.5 (-110) W
Same thought process as yesterday the Yankees are killing LHP.
Yankees are #1 in OPS v LHP in the last 20 days.
Justus Sheffield gave up 7 hits and 3 earned runs in his first start since April against a relatively weak Blue Jays lineup.
Only thing I don't like is that Scheffield has the revenge narrative and only a few months ago was the top pitching prospect in the Yankees farm system before being traded away for Edwin Encarnacion.
Parlay: CLE ML,NYY ML,OAK F5 (+282) W
DFS
Home Run Call(S):
Nelson Cruz
On the season Cruz has a .474 wOBA, .518 ISO, 47.5% FB rate vs LHP
On the season Ross Detwiler is giving up a .291 ISO and 28.9 HR/FB rate against RHH
Winds are blowing out to left 5-10 MIN@CHW
Also think Max Kepler will hit a dong today
Stacks:
The Chalk:
Red Sox
Nationals
Twins
Contrarian Corner:
Angels
Dodgers
Indians
Pitching(DK):
The Chalk:
Max Scherzer
Noah Syndergaard
Kenta Maeda
Contrarian Corner:
Aaron Civale
Sandy Alcantara
Positional Breakdown:
C:
Christian Vazquez
Mitch Garver
Will Smith
Roberto Perez
1B:
Carlos Santana
C.J Cron
Albert Pujols
Cody Bellinger
2B:
Brain Dozier
Jason Kipnis
Max Muncy
Nick Solak
SS:
Francisco Lindor
David Fletcher
Jorge Polanco
Xander Bogaerts
3B:
Rafael Devers
Justin Turner
Miguel Sano
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
OF:
Mike Trout
Max Kepler
Danny Santana
Yasiel Puig
Nelson Cruz
Mookie Betts
Justin Upton
Juan Soto
Eddie Rosario
Value:
Yasiel Puig, Brian Dozier,Justin Upton, Seth Brown,Jason Kipnis, Marwin Gonzales, Justin Smoak, Cavan Biggio, Ian Desmond
Weather:
Winds blowing out to left 5-10 MIN@CHW
Winds blowing right to left 8-10 MPH CLE@DET
Scattered storms by BAL@WAS
General Thoughts:
Sources: