Daily Article 08/29



08/29

Bets

Mets F5 -0.5 (-130)

  1. The Mets bats match up well against Lester as you can see below

  2. John Lester has a 5.09 SIERA over the last 30 days.

  3. Degrom has a 3.02 SIERA and 2.84 xFIP over the last 30 days


Rangers F5 -0.5 (-130)

  1. The Mariners have 6 hitters with a sub .150 ISO against RHP (Smith,Moore,Broxton,Nola,Lopes,Gordon)

  2. Felix Hernandez has a 6.44 SIERA over the last 30 days

  3. Hernandez is surrendering a .362 wOBA, 5.49 xFIP to RHH (The Rangers can roll out 7 RHH tonight)


Reds/Marlins o8.5 (-110)

  1. Alex Wood is giving up a 28% HR/FB rate over the last 30 days and has earned himself a 6.48 ERA.

  2. Woods has crazy splits and allows a .266 ISO to RHH as compared to a .32 ISO to LHH (The Marlins will mostly have 8 RHH in tonight's lineup)

  3. Robert Dugger had a 7.59 ERA in AAA...i think that enough said bout him

  4. Could also go with Marlins TT o3.5 (+105)


Parlay: Mets ML, Reds/Marlins o8.5, Dodgers F5 -0.5 (+360)


DFS

Home Run Call(S):

Danny Santana

  1. Felix Hernandez is giving up a 66.7% FB rate in addition to a 20% HR/FB rate over the last 30 days

  2. Santana has a .267 ISO again RHP this season with a 43.9 Hard Contact Rate

Pete Alonso/ Jon Berti

  1. Pete is crushing lefties with a .385 ISO

  2. Berti also has a .385 ISO against lefties

  3. More of gut feeling calls


Stacks:

The Chalk:

Rockies

Pirates

Dodgers


Contrarian Corner:

Rangers

Mets


Pitching(DK):

The Chalk:

Jacob Degrom

Chris Paddack

Alex Wood


Contrarian Corner:

Lance Lynn

Dereck Rodriguez


Positional Breakdown:

C:

Wilson Ramos

Will Smith

Buster Posey

Tucker Barnhart


1B:

Peter Alonso

Josh Bell

Cody Bellinger

Joey Votto


2B:

Nick Solak

Rougned Odor

Max Muncy

Kevin Newman


SS:

Amed Rosario

Elvis Andrus

Corey Seager

Trevor Story


3B:

Todd Frazier

Jon Berti

Nolan Arenado

Justin Turner


OF:

Danny Santana

Charlie Balckmon

Aristides Aquino

Sin-Choo Soo

J.D Davis

Starling Marte

Willie Calhoun

Josh VanMeter


Value:

Rougned Odor,Nick Solak,Elias Diaz,Dom Nunez,Manuel Margot


Weather:


Sources:

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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