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Daily Article 09/03




Pirates F5 -0.5 (-125).

  1. Mitch Keller over the last 30 days has a 7.45 ERA but a 3.77 SIERA and 3.68 xFIP, this indicates that Keller has gotten EXTREMELY unlucky.

  2. Before his ugly start against Philly Keller looked absolutely dominate against a Reds team that is pretty similar to the Marlins.

  3. Miami has been abysmal against RHP this year (See Below).

Indians TT o5.5 (-125)

  1. The Indians have 5 players with over a .200 ISO (Puig,Santana,Lindor,Reyes,Kipnis) against RHP.

  2. Dylan Cease has a 28.6% HR/FB rate over the last 30 days.

  3. Cease is allowing a .432 wOBA and .308 ISO against lefties this year, Indians are rolling out 6 lefties tonight (Santana, Bauers,Freeman,Flaherty,Lindor,Allen).

Parlay: KCR ML,CLE ML,OAK ML (+235)


Home Run Call(S):

Tom Murphy

  1. Murphy has a .415 ISO and 59.7% FB rate against LHP this season.

  2. Wind is blowing out 10-12 MPH in Wrigley!

  3. Lester over the last 30 days has a 5.71 SIERA and 5.46 xFIP.

  4. Lester is giving up a 16% HR/FB rate and close to 40% hard contact rate this year.

  5. Kyle Seager also really good chance to hit a homerun as well.