Daily Article 09/09



09/09

Bets


Giants F5-0.5 (-120)

  • As you can see from below the Pirates have been abysmal against LHP this year.

  • The Giants have 4 players with over a .230 ISO against RHP this year. (Update Dickerson is out only 3)

  • Trevor Williams is giving up a 48.2% Fly Ball rate over the last 30 days, this combined with the 15-20 MPH wind at oracle park spells trouble.



Parlay: MIL ML, SFG F5 -0.5,CLE ML (+294)


DFS

Home Run Call(S):

Pete Alonso

  • Merrill Kelly is giving up a 16% HR/FB rate over the last 30 days and is giving up a .206 ISO to RHH on the season.

  • Alonso has a .307 ISO and 40.9% FB rate against RHP on the season.


Mike Yastrzemski

  • Yastrzemski has a .271 ISO,.340 wOBA, 50.9% FB Rate against RHP this year.

  • The wind is blowing out at almost 20 MPH at Oracle Park.

  • Trevor Williams is giving up a 48.2% FB rate over the last 30 days.


Stacks:

The Chalk:

Brewers

Red Sox (Fade)

Astros

Yankees


Contrarian Corner:

Indians

Mets

Phillies


Pitching(DK):

The Chalk:

Jacob Degrom

Zack Greinke

Trevor Williams (Fade)


Contrarian Corner:

James Paxton

Jordan Lyles

Kyle Hendricks

Mad Bum


Positional Breakdown:

C:

Yasmani Grandal

Roberto Perez

Wilson Ramos

Stephen Vogut


1B:

Eric Thames

Carlos Santana

Anthony Rizzo

Yuli Gurriel

Pete Alonso


2B:

Mike Moustakas

Gleyber Torres

Jeff McNeil

Cesar Hernandez


SS:

Jean Segura

Francisco Lindor

Marcus Semien

Cory Spangenberg


3B:

Alex Bregman

Matt Chapman

Evan Longoria

Kris Bryant


OF:

Christian Yelich

Yordan Alvarez

Mike Yastrzemski

Jordon Luplow

Franmil Reyes

George Springer

Michael Conforto

Aaron Judge


Value:

Trent Grisham,Cesar Hernandez,Franmil Reyes,Brandon Belt,Aledmys Diaz, Cory Spangenberg


Weather:

Wind blowing out 15-20 MPH PIT@SFG


Sources:

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com

https://www.fangraphs.com

https://www.addmorefunds.com

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