Daily Article 09/10



Ryan Yarbrough o4.5 SO (-125)

  • See breakdown below

Braves F5 - 0.5 (-130)

  • The braves have 5 hitters starting tonight with over a .200 ISO against LHP this year.

  • Jason Vargas has a 5.94 xFIP and 5.76 SIERA over the last 30 days.

  • Max Fried has amazing numbers over the last 30 days (See Below)

Parlay: STL ML,TBR ML,LAD ML (+255)


Home Run Call(S):

Cody Bellinger

  • Boring picking someone that has hit so many, but Bellinger has a .333 ISO,42.8% Fly Ball Rate, 50.7 Hard Contact rate against LHP this season.

  • over the course of the season Ty Blach is giving up a 16.7% HR/FB rate, 48% FB rate, and 50.6% Hard Contact rate to LHH.


The Chalk:




Contrarian Corner:



Red Sox

Mariners (Bauer has a 14.5 Road ERA since starting with the reds)


The Chalk:

Jose Quinta

Trevor Bauer

Walker Buehler

Contrarian Corner:

Zack Wheeler

Chase Anderson

Ryan Yarbrough

Mitch Keller

My Favorites

Ryan Yarbrough

  • As you can see below the rangers have 3 players with Good ISO's against LHP this season but i'm willing to gamble and take a shot at that strike out upside that you can see.

  • The wind is blowing in 13-15 MPH in Glob life park which will limit power which the Rangers are so reliant on. the 3-4-5 of their lineup worries me but the rest is smooth sailing IMO.

  • Will be 1-3% owned, don't play him in cash just a great Tournament pivot.

  • Rangers over the last 20 days are dead last against LHP.

Mitch Keller

  • Has a 3.35 xFIP and SIERA over the last 30 days (compared to his 6.86 ERA which means he has gotten extremely unlucky as of late). Keller also has almost a 30% K rate and only problem has been HR's (Which Oracle park helps limit).

  • I recommended him his last start and he had 3 SO in 1.1 Innings and took a 100 MPH linedrive off his arm, this is my only concern to see how his arm feels. Don't know if he will be on a pitch count or not.

  • Keller will face a Johnny Queto,Mauricio Dubon, and Jaylin Davis (Queto being a pitcher and the other 2 being called up recently with only 22 combine AB's in the majors.

  • The Giants are missing Alex Dickerson & Pablo Sandoval two of their best power hitters.

Positional Breakdown:


Will Smith

Yadier Molina

Christian Vazquez

Roberto Perez


Paul Goldschmidt (Cash)

Freddie Freeman

Carlos Santana

Jose Abreau


Ozzie Albies

Kolten Wong

Tommy Edman

Jose Altuve


Paul DeJong

Francisco Lindor

Xander Bogaerts

Adalberto Mondesi


Josh Donaldson

Justin Turner

Yoan Moncada

Rafael Devers


Cody Bellinger

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Marcell Ozuna

A.J Pollock

Max Kepler

Mookie Betts

Andrew Benintendi

Franmil Reyes

Dexter Fowler


Trent Grisham,Joey Wendle,Harrison Bader,Garrett Hampson,Ji-Man Choi,Chad Pinder,David Fletcher,JP Crawford


Possible delay STL@COL

Wind blowing in 13-15 MPH TB@TEX

Wind blowing out 10-12 MPH ARI@NYM

Wind blowing out 8-10 MPH PIT@SF





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