Daily Article 09/10
09/10
Bets
Ryan Yarbrough o4.5 SO (-125)
See breakdown below
Braves F5 - 0.5 (-130)
The braves have 5 hitters starting tonight with over a .200 ISO against LHP this year.
Jason Vargas has a 5.94 xFIP and 5.76 SIERA over the last 30 days.
Max Fried has amazing numbers over the last 30 days (See Below)
Parlay: STL ML,TBR ML,LAD ML (+255)
DFS
Home Run Call(S):
Cody Bellinger
Boring picking someone that has hit so many, but Bellinger has a .333 ISO,42.8% Fly Ball Rate, 50.7 Hard Contact rate against LHP this season.
over the course of the season Ty Blach is giving up a 16.7% HR/FB rate, 48% FB rate, and 50.6% Hard Contact rate to LHH.
Stacks:
The Chalk:
Cardinals
Rockies
Dodgers
Contrarian Corner:
Braves
Indians
Red Sox
Mariners (Bauer has a 14.5 Road ERA since starting with the reds)
Pitching(DK):
The Chalk:
Jose Quinta
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
Contrarian Corner:
Zack Wheeler
Chase Anderson
Ryan Yarbrough
Mitch Keller
My Favorites
Ryan Yarbrough
As you can see below the rangers have 3 players with Good ISO's against LHP this season but i'm willing to gamble and take a shot at that strike out upside that you can see.
The wind is blowing in 13-15 MPH in Glob life park which will limit power which the Rangers are so reliant on. the 3-4-5 of their lineup worries me but the rest is smooth sailing IMO.
Will be 1-3% owned, don't play him in cash just a great Tournament pivot.
Rangers over the last 20 days are dead last against LHP.
Mitch Keller
Has a 3.35 xFIP and SIERA over the last 30 days (compared to his 6.86 ERA which means he has gotten extremely unlucky as of late). Keller also has almost a 30% K rate and only problem has been HR's (Which Oracle park helps limit).
I recommended him his last start and he had 3 SO in 1.1 Innings and took a 100 MPH linedrive off his arm, this is my only concern to see how his arm feels. Don't know if he will be on a pitch count or not.
Keller will face a Johnny Queto,Mauricio Dubon, and Jaylin Davis (Queto being a pitcher and the other 2 being called up recently with only 22 combine AB's in the majors.
The Giants are missing Alex Dickerson & Pablo Sandoval two of their best power hitters.
Positional Breakdown:
C:
Will Smith
Yadier Molina
Christian Vazquez
Roberto Perez
1B:
Paul Goldschmidt (Cash)
Freddie Freeman
Carlos Santana
Jose Abreau
2B:
Ozzie Albies
Kolten Wong
Tommy Edman
Jose Altuve
SS:
Paul DeJong
Francisco Lindor
Xander Bogaerts
Adalberto Mondesi
3B:
Josh Donaldson
Justin Turner
Yoan Moncada
Rafael Devers
OF:
Cody Bellinger
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Marcell Ozuna
A.J Pollock
Max Kepler
Mookie Betts
Andrew Benintendi
Franmil Reyes
Dexter Fowler
Value:
Trent Grisham,Joey Wendle,Harrison Bader,Garrett Hampson,Ji-Man Choi,Chad Pinder,David Fletcher,JP Crawford
Weather:
Possible delay STL@COL
Wind blowing in 13-15 MPH TB@TEX
Wind blowing out 10-12 MPH ARI@NYM
Wind blowing out 8-10 MPH PIT@SF
Sources:
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