Daily Article 8/20

Updated: Aug 21, 2019

08/20

Bets

Phillies ML -113 W

- As you can see Brian Johnson has been getting smashed by righties this year, all of the Phillies power hitters (Realmuto,Hoskins,Harper) are righties.

- Keep an eye on Harper being DTD.

- Harper Boasting a .622 xSLG against LHP should be in for a great night if he plays.


Chicago F5 -0.5 (-140) W


- The Cubs have massive home/road splits this year.

- I believe that we are getting this line at somewhat of a value because of Hamels' last outing.

- The Cubs should be able to get to Tyler Beede whose ERA raises from 5.14 at home all the way to 6.23 on the road.


Nationals TT o4.5 (-115) L

- With 4 Washington players (Rendon,Soto,Adams,Kendrick) having an xSLG over .500 against RHP and Soto/Adams having ISO's nearing .300 against RHP they should have no problem getting 5 plus runs off of Chris Archer.


Parlay

Dodgers,Braves,Phillies (+232) W


DFS

Home Run Call(s):

Bryce Harper

- Brian Johnson is giving up a 40.2% Fly Ball Rate paired with a 41% Hard Hit Rate.

One of Javier Baez/Nicholas Castellanos


Stacks:

The Chalk:

Angels

Astros

Phillies

Dodgers

Cubs



Contrarian Corner:

Diamondbacks

Braves


Pitching(DK):

The Chalk:

Clayton Kershaw (No DH, No Vladimir Guerrero)

Sonny Gray (Watch weather)

Shane Bieber

Dallas Keuchel


Contrarian Corner:

Aaron Sanchez

Jalen Beeks


Positional Breakdown:

C:

J.T Realmeuto

Robinson Chirinos

Yasmani Grandal

Tom Murphy

Gary Sanchez


1B:

Rhys Hoskins

Anthony Rizzo

Albert Pujols

Freddy Freeman


2B:

Jose Altuve

Ozzie Albies

Max Muncy

Rougned Odor


SS:

Javier Baez

Alex Bregman

Carlos Correa (If healthy)

Jean Seguria


3B:

Scott Kingery

David Fletcher

Josh Donaldson

Mike Moustakas


OF:

Bryce Harper

Nicholas Castellanos

Mike Trout

Yordan Alvarez

Ronald Acuna

Joc Pederson

Ketel Marte

Kyle Schwarber

Shoei Ohtani


Value:

Joc Pederson,Jake Lamb,Trent Gresham,Max Stassi,Jesus Aguilar,Aaron Judge,Alex Gordon, Justin Upton,


Weather

- Watch popup storms in CIN

- Wind blowing out 8-10 MPH in Oakland

- Wind blowing in 9-10 MPH in Texas but Humid and Hot

- Wind blowing out 6-7 MPH in Chicago


General Notes

- Not usually a fan of BvP but in 3 starts against the Diamondbacks Kyle Freeland has given up 5/5/8 runs.

- Check Rangers lineup Nomar Mazara heading to I.L, Possible that hunter Pence sits the 2nd game of a double header. Very weak lineup if Pence is out.

- Mariners have had the #1 wOBA against LHP since ASG. Could be a good leverage play stacking against a chalky Beeks.


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